Key takeaways:
• Lance Lynn and Casey Mize are projected to stay under their targets, taking advantage of weak opposition.
• Robert Gasser, a promising rookie, aims to record over 15.5 outs, backed by the Marlins’ underperformance against left-handed pitchers.
• Patrick Corbin is expected to yield over 5.5 hits, offering lucrative wagering options due to continual poor performance and an on-fire Minnesota Twins.
Amidst the exhilarating world of sports betting, player prop bets serve as an additional rung in the ladder of thrill. Offering profound insights into players’ potential, they can be valuable tools for daily fantasy sports, particularly for baseball season.
Relying on Artificial Intelligence, dfsPro has projected some noteworthy individual performances to look for in today’s games. This article explores some selected MLB player prop bets for May 21, citing statistical data from FanGraphs.
Prop Bets Worth Watching
Lance Lynn’s Favorable Matchup
The first player of note is Lance Lynn. DraftKings sets his line under 5.5 hits allowed. His opponent, the Baltimore Orioles, has been shaky against right-handed pitching, ranking 28th in WRC+ and 29th in OBP over the past fortnight. Another right-handed pitcher, Sonny Gray, kept them hitless for 5 innings only yesterday.
Lynn’s 67% success rate in staying under his line throughout the season, along with the Orioles’ current struggle, sets a high expectation for Lynn’s performance.
Casey Mize’s Underline Predicament
Equally interesting is the projection for Casey Mize with an underline of 2.5 ERA, set by DraftKings. He plays against the Kansas City Royals, a team with a noted weakness against right-handed pitchers. Mize has remained below his line in six of eight games, including a match against the Royals on April 27.
The Royals’ poor form continues, recording the 27th rank in WRC+ over the past couple of weeks. With six of their projected starters hitting .238 or worse against right-handed pitchers, Mize has a good chance to stay below his line.
Robert Gasser’s Rookie Rage
Emerging superstar Robert Gasser’s line is set above 15.5 outs recorded by DraftKings. Despite his propensity for walks while in the minors, the conditions appear favourable for Gasser when he faces the Marlins in today’s game. The Marlins have struggled against left-handed pitchers and have remained aggressive in their hitting, which might play into Gasser’s hands.
Lock of the Day
Patrick Corbin’s Worrying Woes
Lastly, we have Patrick Corbin, with a line set over 5.5 hits allowed. This season, Corbin has consistently given up six or more hits in eight out of nine games. His expected batting average is the league’s worst at .322.
The Minnesota Twins, who Corbin is set to face, have been doing well against left-handed pitchers, owning the second-highest batting average at .296 in the last month. The Twins’ excellent performance contrasted with Corbin’s poor record frames a favourable betting scenario.
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