Key Takeaways:
– Even with the polling issues in swing states, Harris is expected to win the states Joe Biden did in 2020.
– The Dobbs decision affects the voting patterns of people who were against abortion, but wanted it legal.
– Concerns linger around the election making it to the Supreme Court, amplifying fears of Trump’s victory.
– Repeat of the January 6 coup attempt by the MAGA supporters is unlikely, but small scale disruptions are expected.
– Harris’ win can lead to healing the divisiveness in America through a new national consensus.
– The discussion of gender and race is less likely to affect the outcome of a close race.
Campaigning on the Eve of Election
The election day is just around the corner. It’s tempting to think that the campaign trails have run their course, but there is always another angle to consider. The focus drifts to Vice President Kamala Harris, looking at possible warning signs and her chances against Trump. However, history and campaign details hint towards a victory for Harris, considering the decision of the voters about Trump’s fate largely sealed.
Understanding Swing States and Polling
Polling in swing states shows a tight contest. While polls have been a cause of concern recently, it’s essential not to base predictions solely on them. Let’s not forget that history, campaign strategies, and fundamentals come into play. For instance, Harris is expected to inherit states previously won by Joe Biden in 2020.
Effects of the Dobbs Decision
The overturning of Roe through the Dobbs decision has been a game changer. Empowering states to ban abortions, it has stirred discomfort among those who, despite their disapproval of abortions, wanted it to remain legal. The policing towards women’s bodies and consequent pregnancy complications has negatively swayed public sentiment.
Senior White Women: Harris’s Unexpected Demographic
Even staunch republican supporters, such as white women over 65, are reported to be shifting towards Harris. A poll shows these voters moving towards Harris at a 2:1 ratio. It appears that not only disapproval of Trump’s behavior but also a broader backlash against the Dobbs decision might be contributing to these numbers.
Approaching the Supreme Court?
The possibility of the election being escalated to the Supreme Court remains a concern. While Trump might be banking on this, it can only happen if the election result is as close as 2000. However, a landslide victory doesn’t seem to be the case. It’s more likely we will see legal challenges to vote counts in swing states, like in 2020.
Healing the Divisions: A Post-election Scenario
Assuming Harris wins, the question that arises is, how do we bridge the divide? Perhaps, the most plausible solution lies in a new national consensus achieved through a Democratic victory.
MAGA’s Reaction: Expecting the Unexpected
From spreading lies to violent confrontations, MAGA supporters are expected to cause disruptions post-election. However, any attempts by them to disregard Harris as a legitimate president will be fought strongly by law-abiding citizens.
Race and Sex: Fears and Realities
It’s important to question whether Harris’ race and sex could potentially sway voters towards Trump. The answer is – it might, but the competition remains stiff and the election is not likely to be as close as it seems.
Election Security: Bulwarks Against Cheating
The miscreants’ attempts to rock the boat will be met sternly with law enforcement. It’s prudent to put faith in the systems’ integrity and potential to circumvent any attempts to undermine people’s sovereignty. While election day looms, the focus remains steadfast on preserving integrity and ensuring the choice of the people prevails.