Key takeaways

• Nobel economist Paul Krugman says Trump is gaslighting Americans on jobs and living costs.
• Krugman labels this economic gaslighting because Trump’s boasts clash with real data.
• Trump’s tariffs failed to cut the trade deficit and did not create the promised factory jobs.
• Political commentator John Casey adds that Trump avoids hard truths, risking worse economic damage.
• Voters may face higher prices and weak job growth because of ongoing policy errors.

President Trump frequently boasts about a booming economy. However, Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman argues those claims hide serious failures. In his Substack, Krugman calls out what he calls economic gaslighting. In simple terms, this means presenting false success stories to distract from real problems. According to him, Trump’s speeches on job growth and price cuts simply do not add up.

Why Krugman Calls It Economic Gaslighting

First, Krugman points out that the president’s “manly jobs” plan flopped badly. Trump tried to use steep tariffs to revive old manufacturing jobs. He promised to slash trade deficits and attract factories back to America. Yet, those results never arrived. Moreover, instead of lowering prices, tariffs pushed costs up for companies and consumers.

Krugman writes that Trump’s team made two big mistakes. They did not do the math. They also ignored how modern trade really works. As a result, the expected jobs never appeared. For Krugman, pretending those policies succeeded is pure economic gaslighting. He warns that voters will see through such misleading claims.

The Toll of Economic Gaslighting on Jobs

Krugman argues that the tariffs failed to lower the trade deficit. In fact, the deficit rose in the first nine months of this year versus last year. Why? Because today’s global supply chains differ from those in the McKinley era that Trump often praises. Steel and aluminum tariffs, for instance, led U.S. firms to pay more or move production abroad. Workers did not return. Instead, factories cut shifts or closed.

Thus, job growth in manufacturing stayed weak. Meanwhile, other sectors saw slow hiring. According to official data, U.S. manufacturing jobs barely budged. Yet Trump sounded triumphant in public. He claimed America had “the hottest economy in world history.” Krugman calls that rhetoric a classic case of economic gaslighting.

Tariff math also failed to consider costs. Tariffs act like a tax on imports. Businesses pass that tax on to customers. As a result, everyday goods like appliances and clothes became pricier. Families felt the squeeze. Yet Trump blamed outside forces, not his own policy. Krugman says that spin misleads Americans and hides real responsibility.

How the Cost of Living Crisis Fits In

Beyond jobs, Krugman notes that Trump’s team has also spun the cost of living issue. Prices rose sharply after the pandemic. High energy and food bills hurt many households. Even so, Trump declared victory as if inflation vanished. Meanwhile, too few people noticed his economic policies kept prices elevated.

By avoiding tough data, Trump’s speeches gloss over higher grocery and gas bills. He insists the economy is thriving, even when many struggle. Krugman calls this part of the same economic gaslighting pattern. He warns that bragging on “nonexistent success” will not fool voters for long.

Tariffs did not just affect manufacturing. They also pushed up costs for auto parts, electronics, and even agricultural supplies. Farmers paid more for fertilizer and machinery. Urban and rural families both felt the pinch. In fact, inflation-adjusted wages barely kept pace with rising costs.

Peter Navarro, Trump’s former trade adviser, once claimed tariffs would bankroll new jobs. However, Navarro never shared firm estimates on how many jobs to expect. Krugman stresses that failure to “do the math” allowed hollow promises to take hold. This lack of planning deepened the cost of living crisis, while the president called every setback a foreign plot.

A Voice on the Sidelines: John Casey’s Take

Political commentator John Casey adds his view on Trump’s economic style. He says the president fears facing reality. According to Casey, Trump bypasses hard choices, often letting deadlines pass or protections lapse. Meanwhile, he insists “things won’t be that bad” despite evidence to the contrary.

Casey argues that style carries real risks. Lower border security protections, for example, can strain public finances. Ignored deadlines on aid packages leave families and small businesses in limbo. Though Trump downplays setbacks, Casey warns those gaps take a steep toll over time.

Taken together, Krugman and Casey paint a picture of a leader who shies from detailed planning and honest talk. They claim this style creates more problems than it solves. In fact, prolonged tax and tariff fights may erode job growth and drive prices even higher. Yet Trump’s speeches keep promising turnaround stories. That blend of ambition and denial is what these experts call economic gaslighting.

What Comes Next for the Economy?

As the next election approaches, voters will judge economic performance. Will people accept upbeat speeches or look at paychecks and bills? Krugman believes the data will speak louder than rhetoric. If jobs and inflation remain stubbornly weak, Trump’s claims will lose credibility.

Furthermore, if trade deficits stay high and costs keep rising, consumers may demand change. A shift in policy, such as cutting tariffs or boosting spending on green tech, could help. However, any new plan needs solid numbers and honest talk. Otherwise, critics will call it more economic gaslighting.

Meanwhile, Casey highlights the human side of policy delays. Families depend on timely aid and clear rules. School districts, hospitals, and small businesses need certainty. Each missed deadline or lapsed rule adds stress. Over time, these gaps could shape voters’ decisions more than a flashy speech.

In short, both the data and public mood matter. A plan backed by facts and honest projections can restore trust. In contrast, endless boasting without proof only deepens doubt.

Conclusion

Donald Trump’s economic record remains hotly debated. Nobel economist Paul Krugman and commentator John Casey agree on one point: positive spin cannot hide policy flaws. Krugman labels misleading claims economic gaslighting. Casey warns that avoiding reality brings real harm. As Americans assess job numbers and price tags, they may demand more truth and less hype.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is economic gaslighting?

Economic gaslighting is when a leader uses misleading or false claims to hide real economic problems. It aims to shift blame and distract from policy failures.

Did Trump’s tariffs cut the trade deficit?

No. Data shows the U.S. trade deficit grew in the first nine months of this year compared to last year, despite steep tariffs.

How did tariffs affect everyday prices?

Tariffs act like taxes on imported goods. Companies often pass those costs to consumers, driving up prices for items like clothing, electronics, and farm supplies.

What can policymakers do to restore trust?

They can present clear data, set realistic goals, and explain tradeoffs openly. Honest talk and solid math help build credibility.